Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000138 0.000153 0.000170 0.000188 0.000209 0.000232 0.000258
2025-10-19 0.000115 0.000136 0.000159 0.000188 0.000222 0.000261 0.000310
2025-10-26 0.000098 0.000122 0.000151 0.000187 0.000233 0.000288 0.000361
2025-11-02 0.000085 0.000111 0.000143 0.000186 0.000242 0.000314 0.000412
2025-11-09 0.000076 0.000102 0.000137 0.000186 0.000252 0.000340 0.000467
2025-11-16 0.000067 0.000094 0.000131 0.000183 0.000259 0.000363 0.000517
2025-11-23 0.000061 0.000088 0.000126 0.000183 0.000267 0.000387 0.000573
2025-11-30 0.000055 0.000083 0.000122 0.000183 0.000276 0.000414 0.000633
2025-12-07 0.000050 0.000077 0.000117 0.000181 0.000282 0.000435 0.000687
2025-12-14 0.000047 0.000074 0.000116 0.000184 0.000294 0.000466 0.000760
2025-12-21 0.000044 0.000071 0.000113 0.000185 0.000303 0.000494 0.000828
2025-12-28 0.000041 0.000067 0.000110 0.000184 0.000309 0.000517 0.000891
2026-01-04 0.000038 0.000065 0.000109 0.000187 0.000324 0.000555 0.000984
2026-01-11 0.000036 0.000062 0.000107 0.000188 0.000333 0.000585 0.001067
2026-01-18 0.000033 0.000060 0.000104 0.000187 0.000340 0.000613 0.001147
2026-01-25 0.000031 0.000057 0.000101 0.000186 0.000346 0.000639 0.001226
2026-02-01 0.000029 0.000054 0.000099 0.000186 0.000354 0.000669 0.001316
2026-02-08 0.000027 0.000052 0.000096 0.000184 0.000358 0.000691 0.001392
2026-02-15 0.000026 0.000049 0.000094 0.000183 0.000364 0.000719 0.001483
2026-02-22 0.000024 0.000048 0.000092 0.000184 0.000373 0.000751 0.001586
2026-03-01 0.000023 0.000045 0.000089 0.000182 0.000377 0.000774 0.001670
2026-03-08 0.000022 0.000044 0.000089 0.000185 0.000389 0.000817 0.001802
2026-03-15 0.000021 0.000043 0.000088 0.000185 0.000399 0.000853 0.001921